Costs & Payback
Is solar worth it in Pakistan in 2026? Payback with and without net metering
Is solar worth it in Pakistan in 2026? Worked payback for a 5 kW home system at October 2026 prices: on-grid with net billing, without export, and hybrid.
Costs & Payback · Solar
What size solar system do you need? Divide your yearly units by what 1 kW makes in your city: Lahore 4.0 and Karachi 4.65 units per kW a day. Worked example.
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To size a solar system, add up the units on your last 12 bills and divide by what 1 kW of panels makes in your city in a year. Global Solar Atlas data puts that at about 1,466 units in Lahore (4.0 a day) and 1,697 in Karachi (4.65 a day). A Lahore home using 500 units a month needs about 4.1 kW, or seven 580 W panels. Under the 2026 net billing rules, the system can't be bigger than your sanctioned load.
To find what size solar system you need, add up the units on your last 12 electricity bills and divide by what 1 kW of panels makes in a year in your city: about 1,466 units in Lahore and 1,697 in Karachi, from World Bank Global Solar Atlas data. A Lahore home using 500 units a month (6,000 a year) needs about 4.1 kW. Then check that size against your sanctioned load, because net billing won’t connect a bigger system.
500 units a month in Lahore
about 4.1 kW
Seven 580 W panels. Our arithmetic from Global Solar Atlas data, worked example below.
We took the long-term figures for each city from the Global Solar Atlas, the World Bank and ESMAP’s solar data tool built on Solargis data (data period up to 2025, updated April 2026). The “per day” and “per month” columns are our arithmetic from the yearly figure.
| City | Units per kW a year | Per kW a day | Per kW a month (average) | Weakest month | Best month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lahore | 1,466 | 4.0 | 122 | January (93) | April (147) |
| Karachi | 1,697 | 4.65 | 141 | August (106) | March (167) |
| Islamabad | 1,559 | 4.27 | 130 | January (103) | May (157) |
| Peshawar | 1,502 | 4.12 | 125 | January (100) | May (148) |
| Multan | 1,592 | 4.36 | 133 | January (104) | April (151) |
| Quetta | 1,936 | 5.3 | 161 | February (141) | October (182) |
So a 5 kW system makes about 20 units a day in Lahore and 23 in Karachi, and a 10 kW system about 40 units a day in Lahore (around 1,220 a month) and 46.5 in Karachi, averaged over the year.
Divide your yearly units by your city’s yearly figure above. If you only have one bill, multiply the units by 12 first, but a full year is better, because summer and winter bills differ a lot.
| Monthly units (average) | Lahore | Karachi | Islamabad | Peshawar | Multan | Quetta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 | 1.6 kW | 1.4 kW | 1.5 kW | 1.6 kW | 1.5 kW | 1.2 kW |
| 300 | 2.5 kW | 2.1 kW | 2.3 kW | 2.4 kW | 2.3 kW | 1.9 kW |
| 400 | 3.3 kW | 2.8 kW | 3.1 kW | 3.2 kW | 3.0 kW | 2.5 kW |
| 500 | 4.1 kW | 3.5 kW | 3.8 kW | 4.0 kW | 3.8 kW | 3.1 kW |
| 700 | 5.7 kW | 5.0 kW | 5.4 kW | 5.6 kW | 5.3 kW | 4.3 kW |
| 1,000 | 8.2 kW | 7.1 kW | 7.7 kW | 8.0 kW | 7.5 kW | 6.2 kW |
| 1,500 | 12.3 kW | 10.6 kW | 11.5 kW | 12.0 kW | 11.3 kW | 9.3 kW |
This table covers your units over a whole year. It doesn’t mean every month’s bill goes to zero: in winter the same panels make less.
A household in Lahore adds up 12 bills and gets 6,000 units a year.
| Step | Working | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yearly units | 6,000 |
| 2 | Lahore output per kW a year | 1,466 |
| 3 | 6,000 ÷ 1,466 | 4.09 kW |
| 4 | 4.09 kW ÷ 0.58 kW per panel | 7 panels of 580 W |
| 5 | 7 × 580 W | 4.06 kW |
| 6 | 4.06 × 1,466 | about 5,950 units a year |
That’s about 496 units in an average month. But January would give about 378 units and April about 595, so expect a small bill in winter and spare units in spring.
The 580 W panel and its size come from a JinkoSolar Tiger Neo datasheet. Prices for panels like this are in our solar panel price guide, and full-system costs are in what a solar system costs.
Yes, if you want to sell units back to the grid. NEPRA’s Prosumer Regulations, notified on 9 Feb 2026, replaced net metering with net billing for new users.
Dawn and Profit report that a new system can’t be bigger than your connection’s sanctioned load, down from 1.5 times before. So a home with a 5 kW sanctioned load can connect our 4.06 kW example, but not a 7 kW system.
Two more points from the same reports:
We couldn’t open NEPRA’s website to read the regulations themselves (it blocked our requests), so these rules come from news reports. See our net metering guide for the rules and how to apply for net billing for the steps.
The JinkoSolar 580 W panel measures 2,335 × 1,134 mm, or about 2.65 square metres. By our arithmetic that’s about 4.6 square metres (49 sq ft) of panel per kW, and the 7-panel example covers about 18.5 square metres (200 sq ft). Leave extra room for walkways, frames and gaps between rows, and keep panels out of the shade of water tanks and walls.
Haier Pakistan lists one of its 1-ton DC inverter ACs at 0.36 to 1.39 kW of power input while cooling. Over 8 hours, that is between 2.9 and 11.1 units, depending on how hard the AC has to work.
For fans, ARY News reports that conventional ceiling fans use 70 to 90 watts and inverter fans are sold as using about 30 watts at low or medium speed (40 to 50 watts at full speed). Five conventional fans at 80 W for 12 hours use 4.8 units a day; five inverter fans at 30 W, 1.8 units.
Batteries are sized for the hours you want to cover, not for your whole bill.
Battery size (kWh) = load (kW) × hours of backup ÷ usable share of the battery
The usable share is the depth of discharge on the battery’s datasheet. Max Power, a battery seller, says lithium batteries can go to 90% to 95% and tubular lead-acid batteries only to 50%.
Prices are in our lithium battery price guide.
More guides: Solar costs and payback, net metering, solar system prices, solar calculator, solar loans and instalment plans.
On average over a year, about 20 units a day in Lahore, 21 in Islamabad and 23 in Karachi, based on Global Solar Atlas data. Winter days produce less and spring days more.
About 40 units a day, or roughly 1,220 a month, in Lahore, and about 46.5 units a day in Karachi, on average over the year.
In daytime energy terms, yes. A 1-ton inverter AC uses 2.9 to 11.1 units in 8 hours depending on how hard it works, and 5 kW of panels makes about 20 units on an average Lahore day.
Work out the kW first, then divide by the panel size. With 580 W panels, you need about 1.7 panels per kW, so a 4 kW system is 7 panels.